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đŸš« VĂ€givalla spiraal kogu LĂ€his-Ida pĂ”hjaosas jĂ€tkab lahti hargnemist

By Mihkel Johannes Paimla
Iisraeli raketitĂ”rjesĂŒsteem Iron Dome tabab Gaza sektorist vĂ€lja lastud rakette, nagu on nĂ€ha Iisraeli lĂ”unaosas asuvast Ashkelonist, 8.oktoobril 2023. (Amir Cohen / Reuters)

Iisrael pommitab Gazat, SĂŒĂŒriat ja Liibanoni. SĂ”ltumata sellest, kes vastutab kohutava terrorirĂŒnnaku eest Iraanis, on see jĂ”hker löök. Jaanuari algul tuli uudis, et USA on löönud Bagdadi, tĂ€psemalt Iraagi Rahvamiilitsa jĂ”udude (YPG) juhte. Löögis sai haavata 7 ja hukkus 2, nende hulgas ĆĄeik Talib al-Saidi, ĂŒks SNF-i AN-Nujaba liikumisrĂŒhma ĂŒlematest.

Seda vĂ”ib pidada USA vastuseks pĂ€rast seda, kui ĂŒksikud SNF-i rĂŒhmad on viimase kahe kuu jooksul Iraagis USA positsioone rakettidega tulistanud. Iraagi eskaleerumine on muidugi seotud Iisraeli rĂŒnnakutega Gaza sektoris.

Ametlik Bagdad on juba öelnud, et see on “Iraagi suverÀÀnsuse jultunud rikkumine”.

Probleem on aga selles, et Bagdad ei ole vĂ”imeline ohjeldama ei SNF-i rĂŒhmitusi ega ameeriklasi.

Iisraeli ja USA karm tegevus on suunatud vastaste mahasurumiseks, kuid see provotseerib ka Iraani ja sellega seotud jĂ”ude, mis paratamatult pĂ”hjustab lĂ”henemist Liibanonis/SĂŒĂŒria/Iraagis, arvestades, et seal on rĂŒhmitusi, kes ei taha osaleda ja kogeda sĂ”ja raskusi. See kehtib eriti Liibanoni kohta. Iraagis seevastu tuletavad ameeriklased pigem meelde oma vĂ”imeid.

Iraan, nagu ka Hizbullah, jĂ€tkab ilmselt “strateegilist kannatlikkust” ja piiratud tegevust, pĂŒĂŒdes hetkel mitte raisata ressursse. Kui kaua need kestavad, on kĂŒsimus.

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