The “Republicans In Name Only” (RINOs) and the Democrats came together as the “uniparty” to push through the US’ latest Ukraine aid package in late April, which prompted Zelensky to disclose that their countries are negotiating a ten-year-long security pact. He then elaborated over the weekend that it’ll include “armed support, financial, political, and joint arms production.” An agreement like that will almost certainly require congressional approval, ergo where the uniparty comes back in.
Billionaire entrepreneur David Sacks reacted to this on X by writing that “The $61 billion was just the beginning. The next two U.S. presidents won’t be able to switch it off”, to which Elon Musk responded with “This is insane. The forever war.” It was observed back in early January that “Ukraine’s Hoped-For ‘Security Guarantees’ Aren’t All That They Were Hyped Up To Be” after the first such pact was reached with the UK but didn’t include promised troop deployments like Kiev had earlier sought to clinch.
Subsequent bilateral agreements with other NATO countries also didn’t include those promises either, but what’s so concerning about the similar pact being negotiated with the US is that it might take the form of a bill modeled off of the 1979 “Taiwan Relations Act” and thenceforth enter into law. The aforementioned is deliberately ambiguous about the US’ mutual defense commitment to that rogue Chinese island but mandates continued arms sales to it and pressures the president to act if it’s attacked.
In the event that the ongoing negotiations culminate in something of the sort for Ukraine, then Sacks’ prediction would be proven correct with all that entails for locking in this front of the New Cold War. If Trump returns to office, which can’t be taken for grated given the Biden Administration’s persecution of him and fears of election-rigging, his hands will be tied and he couldn’t de-escalate even if he wants to. Any move in that direction could lead to another round of impeachment proceedings against him.
The RINOs and Democrats might therefore drop the façade of their false competition once more in order to legally mandate a full ten years’ worth of “armed support, financial, political, and joint arms production” with Ukraine. As the cherry on top, they might also codify similarly ambiguous Taiwan-like language about the US’ mutual defense commitment to that country. The only way to prevent this from being weaponized against Trump is for MAGA Republicans to win as many seats in November as possible.
If the RINOs and Democrats don’t have the numbers, then they can’t force him out of office but only symbolically impeach him like they already did two times already if he reneges on this agreement. His envisaged federal government reforms, should they be successful, could reduce the number of internal saboteurs who’d try to subvert his diplomatic policy for advancing US interests. To be sure, there are a lot of uncertainties for Trump in this scenario, but it’s still better than if the uniparty remains in total power.
What should be most important for every patriotic American is that the President, whoever they may be at any given time, retains the right to formulate foreign policy in line with the Constitution. Checks and balances are important to maintain, but what the uniparty might be attempting to do via Congress is override the next two Presidents by locking their foreign policy in place just like they did with Taiwan. That precedent was already legally contentious enough but it was still passed during peace with China.
By contrast, what appears to be in the pipeline with Ukraine is being negotiated in the context of the NATO-Russian proxy war that’s being waged in that former Soviet Republic, which risks World War III by miscalculation. Tying the President’s hands in terms of how they de-escalate this conflict predetermines that it’ll continue kindling even if the front lines informally freeze for a significant length of time, thus keeping the Damocles’ sword of Armageddon hanging over everyone’s head for the next decade at least.
